In February 2025, the AIER Business Conditions Monthly indicators painted a picture of a moderately slowing but still resilient US economy.

Spending at US retailers skyrocketed last month at the strongest monthly pace in more than two years as Americans rushed to beat President Donald Trump’s massive tariff hikes.

Only one of these measures will be proven right. To figure out which will be the more likely outcome, I calculated their track records when predicting the subsequent 12-month percentage change of the ...

People are worried about their jobs and the impending threat of layoffs. That's bad news for consumer spending and the US economy.

Consumer sentiment fell more than 10% in the last month, and according to the University of Michigan’s latest consumer survey ...

The rise in price pressures will prove short-lived, according to a survey of economists. Still, inflation will likely persist ...

Consumer sentiment fell more than 10% in the last month, and according to the University of Michigan’s latest consumer survey ...

Forecasters say the economy will nearly stall or slip into recession over Trump's tariffs. Some say his 90-day pause doesn't ...

Consumer confidence is now weaker than it was during the 2008 financial crisis, a new UoM survey showed. The University of ...

American consumers expect prices to rise by 6.7% over the next year, according to a closely watched survey of consumer sentiment from the University of Michigan. The inflation expectation figure is ...

The Trump administration exempted electronics from “reciprocal” tariffs. It’s a relief for consumers, who desperately need an ...

Consumer sentiment in the United States continued its sharp plunge this month under President Donald Trump as Americans grew ...