The current probability of a recession being officially determined to have begun between 1 November 2024 and 1 November 2025 ...

Conventional thinking on Wall Street has been that cuts are a warning that the economy is on the brink of a recession. If the Fed sees a slowdown in the economy, it will lower rates to stimulate ...

Large rate cuts – such as those Fed officials approved and forecast last week – typically reflect an economy the Federal Reserve is trying to dig out of recession. And record-high stock values ...

Nov 13 (Reuters) - The U.S. central bank should proceed cautiously on further interest rate cuts to keep from inadvertently ...

The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by a quarter of a percentage point on Thursday, setting the latest path for borrowing ...

The Fed does not have an excellent track record in avoiding recessions with rate cuts. 78% of the time, the economy was either already in recession or ended up in recession after monetary easing ...

In addition, the high likelihood of Fed rate cuts beginning in June adds to the bull case of avoiding recession and growing corporate profits. The more challenging part is that the markets seem to ...

If investors interpret a Fed rate cut as occurring because the Fed is worried about an impending recession, stock values could fall, especially if the economy weakens after the rate reduction is ...

Has the Fed nailed a “soft landing,” slowing inflation without causing a recession? Or is September’s rate cut a sign that higher interest rates have gone too far and made the economy too weak?

"History back to 1990 supports the idea that an initial Fed rate cut of 50 basis points signals an imminent recession (2001 and 2007)," write Nicholas Colas and Jessica Rabe, co-founders of ...

The Fed's recent half-point cut in the federal funds rate ... makes questionable the warnings of a pending recession premised on the joblessness rate. Employment needs are shifting.